NASA Expert: No 2012 Supervolcano

Supervolcanoes: Not a Threat For 2012

• Volcanologists have many unanswered questions about supervolcanoes, including what triggers their eruptions, and how can we predict when the next supervolcano will erupt?
• The most recent supereruption occurred in New Zealand about 26,000 years ago.
• Scientists have no way of predicting with perfect accuracy whether a supervolcano will occur in a given century, decade, or year – and that includes 2012.
• The odds if a supervolcano erupting in any given year is close to a million-to-one.
• There’s no sign of a supereruption looming anytime soon.

On that last point, given that scientists have never witnessed such an eruption, and they don’t know what triggers them, how do they know what to look for?

For those of us that believe there were advanced ancient civilizations that could do things like, say, build pyramids – 26,000 years ago is recent enough that the Taupo eruption might have been intelligently observed, and notes passed on. And 13 months is plenty of time for a supervolcano to kick-start itself.

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It looks like next in the series will be either Nibiru or pole shifts. I bet they either ignore magnetic pole shifts, or tell us they cannot happen suddenly (despite recent evidence to the contrary).